Oddsmakers set FSU Football win total at 7.5 games in 2022

The good news for the Florida State football program is that oddsmakers are projecting marked improvement for Mike Norvell's squad during the 2022 season, based on offseason win total projections.

The bad news is that based on those same projections, the Seminoles will have to deal with playing three of their toughest four opponents in back-to-back-to-back weeks in October.

According to online sportsbook PointsBet, the over/under for FSU's wins this season is 7.5, which is an upgrade of two wins over where sportsbooks had the Seminoles slotted last year at this time.

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In 2021, Norvell's first full season as head coach, oddsmakers had FSU's total at 5.5 wins, and the Seminoles finished just under that with a 5-7 record. A stunning home loss to FCS opponent Jacksonville State was the difference in falling under that total.

But this season, with the vast majority of the team's production returning and at least 10 college transfers expected to make contributions, the projections have improved to 7.5.

Having said that, the Seminoles do have a challenging schedule in 2022, with only three of 10 opponents listed by PointsBet projected to have records below .500. Those three are Georgia Tech (3.5 wins), Syracuse (4.5) and Louisville (5.5).

Louisiana and FCS opponent Duquesne are not listed by PointsBet, but the other seven schools all have win totals of at least 6.5 games. And four of those seven have totals of 8.5 or higher -- Clemson (10.5), Miami (8.5), N.C. State (8.5) and Wake Forest (8.5).

While Norvell has said he likes the way the schedule sets up, it is worth noting that three of the four teams with the highest win projections will face the Seminoles within a span of 14 days in October. Fortunately for the 'Noles, two of those games will be at home.

FSU has Wake Forest in Doak Campbell Stadium on Oct. 1, followed by a road trip to N.C. State on Oct. 8 and a home date with Clemson on Oct. 15.

Here is a look at FSU's complete schedule with last year's records and this year's win projections:

FSU 2022 Football Schedule

Date	Opponent	Location	2021 record	2022 W/L Total*

8/27	Duquesne	Home	7-3	N/A
9/4	LSU	New Orleans	6-7	7.5
9/10	BYE	------	------	------
9/16	Louisville	Away	6-7	5.5
9/24	Boston College	Home	6-6	6.5
10/1	Wake Forest	Home	11-3	8.5
10/8	N.C. State	Away	9-3	8.5
10/15	Clemson	Home	10-3	10.5
10/22	BYE	------	------	------
10/29	Georgia Tech	Home	3-9	3.5
11/5	Miami	Away	7-5	8.5
11/12	Syracuse	Away	5-7	4.5
11/19	Louisiana	Home	13-1	N/A
11/25	Florida	Home	6-7	7.5

Other notable projected win totals in the ACC are: North Carolina (7.5), Virginia (7.5), Virginia Tech (5.5) and Duke (3.5).

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