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Published Sep 17, 2024
Takeaway Tuesday: Memphis blues, bear market, bridge closed, bottoms up
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Patrick Burnham  •  TheOsceola
Football/Recruiting Analyst
Twitter
@OsceolaPat

One of the many great things about college football is that we get a chance to reset our expectations and beliefs each week based on what we see each Saturday. Every week is indeed a season for football teams and their fan bases.

As for fans and for those of us who cover the sport, we live for Saturdays and for those of us that love the sport we also come away from each of those Saturdays with new opinions (some stronger than others) about our favorite team or teams or just college football in general.

Those opinions can make for great water cooler talk, debate and, yes, even arguments. People feel strongly about college football. However, each game has a shelf life of exactly a week, but what we see each week can and most likely will impact what we think going into the next game or weekend of games.

We get a chance to reset our thoughts, beliefs and opinions every seven days. What I think this Tuesday, I may or may not think next Tuesday.

Having provided my weekly introduction and disclaimer for this column here are some things I think, I think about the Florida State football program after its loss to Memphis and 0-3 start to the 2024 season.

Memphis Blues: I expected there to be some fall off from last year's very talented football team. It's hard to replace guys like Jared Verse, Braden Fiske, Jordan Travis, Keon Coleman and several others who you all are aware of. However, the fall off through three games has been of epic proportions. And it is inexcusable.

This team is simply not competitive. It is hard to even fathom that I thought this team might be capable of winning nine games. There is no sense of urgency from this team. It's hard to identify who the leaders are. The offense to this point has been incompetent. The defense has shown it can't stop one-dimensional offenses. Georgia Tech stung FSU with its running game. Boston College gashed FSU up the middle. And when Memphis couldn't run the ball vs. FSU, they just simply took advantage of the Seminoles inability to be at the right place at the right time defending the pass.

Now Cal is getting ready to come to town behind its aggressive, rock and roll defense and balanced offense that just so happened to find its running game this past weekend.

We've heard this tune before and unless something drastically changes this week, we will likely be playing the same song on the vast majority of weekends left in this season.

Bear Market: The stock of Florida State's offense has dropped significantly from football season 2023 to football season 2024. FSU ranks 124th in the country is scoring offense, 133rd in rushing offense, 74th in passing offense and 128th in total offense. They also rank 122nd in TFLs allowed and 107th in sacks allowed. Mike Norvell's offense is a shell of what it has looked like the previous two years, and I am not sure there is a cure for what ails this offense. They don't do anything particularly well. And I don't see any improvement coming in the immediate future. The Cal Bears are ranked 37th in total defense and, when you factor in just their FBS opponents (Auburn and SDSU), they rank 25th in total defense. And Cal, at the least from an analytics perspective, gets to the quarterback better than any of FSU's first three opponents.

Building Blocks: If you are an optimist there might be a couple of things that FSU can build off of as it enters its game against Cal. FSU's run defense was significantly better, holding Memphis to 65 yards on the ground, than it fared against Georgia Tech or Boston College. You saw more production from Darrell Jackson and Josh Farmer against Memphis than in the first two games. Daniel Lyons continues to play hard, and we finally saw flashes from KJ Sampson this past Saturday. And the LBs look to be getting better vs. the run to at least some degree. Linebackers Cam Riley, Blake Nichelson and Juice Cryer are getting better. Hopefully Riley will be ready to go for Cal after leaving the Memphis game early.

If you are pessimist, you can dismiss this by saying FSU's defense had its best performance against a team whose starting OL has a combined 30 start (approximately) and with three of their starters not having started a single game in their careers at Memphis until three weeks ago.

Take the wins where you can them and maybe this improvement will continue against Cal and SMU. Both games FSU will have a chance to win depending on whether they can make the Bears and Mustangs one dimensional on offense (like they did the Tigers).

Bottoms Up: Offensively, it was hard to watch this game again. Blocking by both offensive line, wide receivers and tight ends was abysmal. There was at least one play vs. the Tigers where the left guard was pulling, and the right guard was supposed to down block and instead of gaining ground on the defender his angle took him behind the center, and he knocked the pulling guard off his path. I am not sure I have ever seen that happen before. At least I have never seen a down block where you give up so much ground that you knock the two pullers off their track. The passing game still tends to be more miss than hit.

Right now, there is not one single thing that his offense does well, and Mike Norvell has had since January to figure out how he wanted to use this year's personnel. A quarter of the season is in the rear-view mirror, and this offense has no identity and no direction. And that is on the offensive staff. I see very little reason to believe we will see drastic improvement on this side of the ball. The only thing I can say is that you can't get any further south than rock bottom. And with FSU ranking 128th in total offense out of 134 FBS teams, I think it is safe to say you are already there.

However, an optimist would say the only way you can go from here is up, but I am not sure Danny DeVito could fit under the ceiling the 2024 FSU offense has.

One thing is for sure: $10 million dollars should buy you a coach who has his team prepared, who can produce competitive and competent game plans and beat opponents who have less talent and depth. Maybe it's inflation but $10 million dollars doesn't buy you what it used too.

Bridge Closed: I was never a fan of the "bridge quarterback" philosophy and certainly doubled down on that when it became apparent FSU wasn't going to get Cam Ward. It just never made sense to me. I wrote about the fact I wasn't a fan of the DJU take and talked about it.

The 2024 Seminoles were not going to be as talented as the 2023 team. Just too much talent departed the roster, and it was going to be extremely hard to replace them. I thought there was going to be a bump in the road in 2024. But I thought that bump might mean 8-4 or 9-3. And I thought you could have that type of season even with Brock Glenn at quarterback while expediting his development in-game.

Instead, that bump has turned into a roadblock with an 0-3 start and one of the most ineffective offenses in all of college football. Something has to change.

Mike Norvell said earlier this week that he sees the moments with DJU and that he has given FSU a chance — and that DJU is giving the offense an opportunity to make plays. Sorry, coach, I don't see it and at this point I don't think anyone outside the Moore Center does either. And while problems abound with offense and there needs to be open competition at multiple positions, the experiment with a bridge quarterback needs to come to a close.

While FSU might rank 74th in passing, DJU is only completing 56 percent of his passes this season. That is below his career completion percentage of 59 percent. FSU ranks 125th in third-down offense, 120th in pass efficiency offense, is tied for 62nd in passing plays over 20 yards and is tied at 121st in running plays over 10 yards. This offense is anemic, and it is in need of a spark.

Glenn is young, and he will make mistakes, but he plays with energy and enthusiasm. He is also more athletic than DJU and defenses would have to account for the QB in the run game because Glenn can make plays with his feet. Glenn should also have credibility in the locker room after being trotted out as the sacrificial lamb against UGA in the Orange Bowl.

DJU was brought in to see if he could help FSU compete for a shot in the ACC title game. That ship has long since sailed under the bridge. There is still a lot to play for with nine games left on the schedule. One of those things isn't an ACC Championship. One of those things is the future and the future is now.

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Spin Cycle: After an 0-3 start there seems to be a spin cycle to some of these FSU press conferences. Mike Norvell said earlier this week that the issues this team is having on Saturdays, he and his staff aren't seeing during practice.

I think there are only three things you can do if that's the case. One, change the way you practice. Two, change the way you coach. Three, change your personnel. If there is a fourth option, please let me know.

One thing I would do is quit playing music so loud that when a coach corrects one player on the field, everyone in his position group can hear what is being said. Take advantage of every teachable moment. I have never understood blaring music at practice for this very reason. If you don't believe me, just ask any of the guys on our staff.

There is no way a defensive back on the sideline can hear what Adam Fuller or Pat Surtain are saying to a DB on the field during 11 on 11. They are missing opportunities to coach multiple players off one play and while it's not a solution to all of Florida State's on-field problems it certainly can't help but produce a more well-coached football team. Some teams are mature enough to handle the distraction. Others aren't, especially one that has as much to learn about playing football as this one.

Forgive Me if I Snub You the Wrong Way: This will definitely rub most people the wrong way. And I am sorry, I truly am. We all at one time or another in our life, and for some of us multiple times, and maybe will do so again, been guilty of not seeing flaws in things that we care about and love. And most of the people that read this love Florida State.

That being said, I believe we saw the cracks in the foundation of this program when 20 or so players decided to opt-out of the bowl game after the playoff snub last season.

You can argue that Jared Verse and Trey Benson should have sat out because of the NFL draft because of the chance of getting hurt. But almost every other player that played in the ACC Championship game should have played in the Orange Bowl for a multitude of reasons. Hell, everyone that wasn't injured could have helped their stock in the NFL draft or transfer portal market if they played well vs. UGA.

Maybe I am old school, but they should have wanted to play for their teammates and coaches. They should have wanted to play against UGA, which also had an argument that it should have been in the playoff. They should have played because they had a chance to go down in history as a 14-0 team. They should have played because you only get so many chances. Hell, you can get hurt walking out your front door or in pregame warmups. A couple of guys opted out, a lot of guys quit on their teammates and coaches. And there are people in the Moore Center that feel that way but can't say it.

Life is often unfair, but we all have to get up and respond to those moments or run from them. We hear words like fit, culture, character, family and brotherhood all the time. Those things should manifest themselves during the worst of times, just not the best of times. They didn't.

I don't always agree with my brother, but I will always jump in the bunker and fight with and for him. FSU's 2023 football team could have jumped into the bunker together last season, and it didn't.

The ripple effects from that seem to have trickled into the 2024 season. So far, the 2024 team is playing without chemistry. You can watch the film and see guys that aren't playing hard, aren't playing for their teammates and aren't doing their jobs. Maybe the seeds for that were planted by players opting out and/or quitting after the snub. It magnified the "me-first" attitude of this generation.

It also speaks to the fragile foundation that programs are built on in the NIL and transfer portal era and it might have shown us that the foundation that FSU's football program is built on isn't as strong as we thought.

Maybe we couldn't see it then or maybe we just didn't want to see it because of how we feel about the program and university. In retrospect, at the very least it is something to think about as we all continue to wrap our heads around the due south trajectory the FSU football program is presently headed.

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